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Zion Williamson Not Worth Half A Max Contract According To Projections

Zion Williamson is not even worth half of his newly signed max-level deal with the New Orleans Pelicans, at least according to FiveThirtyEight’s 2022-23 NBA Five-Year Projections. The “projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.”

The ink is still drying on Williamson’s five-year, $188 million rookie max contract extension. Some reports put his price tag at $193 million but the 2019 first overall pick could cash in for $230 million if certain All-NBA thresholds are met this season. Yet FiveThirtyEight’s projection only gives Williamson credit for $89 million in on-court value for the New Orleans Pelicans.