Wild Card Matchups, Odds, Stats And ATS Betting Insights

The 2023 NFL playoff bracket for wild card weekend includes six games with three divisional contests and rematches. This update includes the match-ups, odds, stats and against the spread (ATS) information that may guide you to more winners.

As you review leading online sportsbook odds and prop bet options, here are some stats and ATS info to know, along with five teams chasing their first Super Bowl championship.

Types of bets and how to read the odds

Current game odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, which refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Seattle at San Francisco

Line: 49ers -9.5, Total 42.5 int from opener)

Saturday, Jan. 14 | 4:30 pm ET | Fox

Stats and ATS info from Playbook Sports. Home teams that won 12 or more games last season and lost in the conference championship game are 27-2 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in their opening playoff game (49ers). The 49ers are on a 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS run and rookie QB Brock Purdy took over as starter in Week 13. The 49ers went 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in six games vs. other playoff opponents this season and out-gained them by +440 total yards. The Seahawks went 2-4 SU/ATS and were out-gained by -234 yards.

Los Angeles at Jacksonville

Line: Chargers -2.5, Total 47.5

Saturday, Jan. 14 | 8:15 pm ET | NBC

Wild Card home underdogs (or pick ’em) are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 situations. Jaguars head coach Doug Peterson is 5-0 ATS as a playoff underdog, including when winning Super Bowl 52 as coach of the Philadelphia Eagles. The Chargers went 1-5 SU and 4-2 ATS in six games vs. other playoff opponents this season and were out-gained by -155 yards. The Jaguars went 2-3 SU/ATS and were out-gained by -319 yards.

Miami at Buffalo

Line: Bills -13.5, Total 43.5

Sunday, Jan. 15 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

The Dolphins are 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS away in foreign stadiums since January 1990. Miami is also 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS in Buffalo when coming off a SU and ATS home win. The Bills went 3-2 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in five games vs. other playoff opponents this season and out-gained them by +417 total yards. The Dolphins went 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS and were out-gained by -269 yards.

New York Giants at Minnesota

Line: Vikings -3, Total 48.5

Sunday, Jan. 15 | 4:30 pm ET | Fox

Wild Card round underdogs of 3 or fewer points, seeking same-season revenge, are 12-4-1 ATS. Minnesota beat New York 27-24 in Week 16 on a last second field goal. The Giants, under head coach Brian Daboll, are 9-2 ATS as an underdog this season. The Vikings went 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in five games vs. other playoff opponents this season and were out-gained by -816 total yards. The Giants went 2-6 SU and 5-3 ATS while being out-gained by -515 yards vs. fellow playoff opponents.

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Line: Bengals -8.5, Total 40.5

Sunday, Jan. 15 | 8:15 pm ET | NBC

The Ravens are 13-2 ATS away in same-season division revenge affairs. The Bengals went 4-2 SU/ATS in six games vs. other playoff opponents this season, but were out-gained by -330 total yards. The Ravens went 2-5 SU and 2-4-1 ATS and out-gained those opponents by +414 yards. Note QB injury to Lamar Jackson and stats impact.

Dallas at Tampa Bay

Line: Cowboys -2.5, Total 45.5

Monday, Jan. 16 | 8:15 pm ET | ESPN

Tom Brady is 7-0 SU in his career against the Cowboys, but losing teams (Bucs are 8-9) are 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS in the postseason (3-0 ATS at home). Tampa Bay is 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games this season. The Buccaneers went 2-4 SU/ATS in six games vs. other playoff opponents this season and out-gained them by +73 total yards. The Cowboys went 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS and out-gained them by +358 yards.

Quarterbacks First Playoff Start

Research by the Action Network notes that since 2002, quarterbacks making their first NFL Playoff start are 18-36 SU & 17-36-1 ATS.

First time starting QB’s in the playoffs:

• Justin Herbert – Chargers
• Trevor Lawrence – Jaguars
• Brock Purdy – 49ers
• Geno Smith – Seahawks
• Daniel Jones – Giant
• Skyler Thompson – Dolphins
• Tyler Huntley or Anthony Brown – Ravens

Wild Card Betting Trends

Here are NFL playoff betting trends for the Wild Card round as researched by the team at Vegas Stats & Information Network.

• The outright winner owns a point spread record of 54-7-1 ATS (88.5%) in the last 62 Wild Card playoff games.
• Road teams are 15-9 straight up (SU) and 16-8 ATS over the last five seasons.
• Underdogs are on a run of 13-6-1 ATS in the last 20 NFC Wild Card games but were 1-2 ATS last year.
• Road favorites have become increasingly common in recent playoff seasons during the Wild Card round with 15 over the last 14 seasons. Those favored road teams are 10-5 SU and 7-7-1 ATS.
• Home favorites of a touchdown or more in the Wild Card round are 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS since 2005.
• Home favorites of -9.5 points or more have won the last 12 Wild Card contests while going 12-0 ATS.
• In the 14 Wild Card matchups between divisional opponents since 2003, road teams are 8-8 SU and 11-5 ATS.
• In Wild Card totals betting, ‘unders’ have gone 30-13-1 the past 10 years.

More playoff coverage into the Monday Night Football playoff game between the Cowboys and Buccaneers with favorable stats and match-ups for Dallas.

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