Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday August 28th, 2022.
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Today’s Betting Overview – Padres vs. Royals
The Padres take on the Royals on Sunday August 28th at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- matchup: San Diego Padres (70-58) vs. Kansas City Royals (51-77)
- Date: Sunday August 28th, 2022
- Time: 2:10 ET
- Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Today’s MLB Sportsbook Odds – Padres vs. Royals
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San Diego Padres – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
As the San Diego Padres travel to take on the Kansas City Royals with a record of 70-58, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. When playing away from home, the Padres have played well posting a record of 35-30. The unit is coming off a winning effort over Kansas City by a score of 4-3. Overall, the team has won over half of their 40 series played, going 20-14-6.
San Diego pitcher Sean Manaea gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-6. Manaea will be looking to bring down an ERA of 4.64. Sean Manaea has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.29. In today’s game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .247. Across his previous outings, Manaea has a SLG% allowed of .440. In total, he has given up 22 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 132 strikeouts on a K rate of 24.0%.
On offense, San Diego comes into the game averaging 4.40 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 2. Through 128 games, the Padres have the 15th ranked batting average at .242. For the season, 33.6% of the team’s hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 23rd in the league, at 0.89 home runs per contest. So far, their hard hit rate of 37.0 is near the MLB average. San Diego’s overall OBP of .320 is good for 7th in the league. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 9.4%.
Kansas City Royals – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
The Kansas City Royals come into this road contest vs. San Diego with a below .500 record (51-77). In the AL Central division standings, the team ranks 4th. The Royals hope to avoid dropping further below .500 at home, as they are currently 31-37 at Kauffman Stadium. Kansas City is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Padres by a score of 4-3. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 41 series, coming in at 12-25-4.
Jon Heasley gets the start for the Royals with a below .500 record at 1-7. Compared to other starting pitchers, Heasley has one of the highest ERA’s in the league at 5.21. Jon Heasley has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.57. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .271 against him. Across his previous outings, Heasley has a SLG% allowed of .492. In total, he has given up 13 home runs. Overall, Heasley has notched 48 strikeouts on a K rate of 16.0%.
Kansas City’s offense comes into this game averaging just 3.82, placing them 24th in the MLB. In the team’s 68 games at home, their run differential is 2. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .242 comes in closer to the league average. On average, the team is coming up with 8.09 hits per game. For the season, the team has struggled in the power department, ranking 28th in the league at .82 home runs per contest. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (6.9%). Up to this point, Kansas City has been getting on base at a rate of just .305, placing them 24th in all of baseball, while their wOBA of .300 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today’s MLB Betting Pick – Padres vs. Royals
Heading into today’s matchup between San Diego and Kansas City, the Padres are the heavy favorite at -190 on the moneyline. San Diego’s implied win probability sits at 65.52%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take San Diego on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Royals on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Royals +1.5 Runline
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