It took a historic season for Rams receiver Cooper Kupp to win the 2021 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award. But even that’s not enough to earn him front-runner status heading into 2022.
That honor belongs to Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, who is dealing as the +1000 favorite at FanDuel after rushing for a league-leading 1,811 yards and 18 touchdowns in 2021. He finished second for this award behind Kupp (+1400), who is tied for second billing this year with Vikings wideout Justin Jefferson after his Triple Crown effort a year ago.
All three are due for monster seasons, but they aren’t the best values on the board. Here are the odds to win this year’s NFL Offensive Player of the Year (shorter than +10000), along with three of our favorite bets ahead of the 2022 season:
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2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting odds
Jonathan Taylor | +1000 |
Justin Jefferson | +1400 |
Cooper Kupp | +1400 |
Derrick Henry | +1600 |
Nick Chubb | +2000 |
Deebo Samuel | +2000 |
Lamar Jackson | +2000 |
Davante Adams | +2000 |
Justin Herbert | +2500 |
Patrick Mahomes | +2500 |
Christian McCaffrey | +2500 |
Josh Allen | +2500 |
Kyler Murray | +3000 |
Jalen Hurts | +3000 |
Ja’Marr Chase | +3000 |
Joe Burrow | +4000 |
Dalvin Cook | +4000 |
Trey Lance | +4000 |
Stefon Diggs | +4000 |
Tom Brady | +5000 |
Aaron Rodgers | +5000 |
Dak Prescott | +5000 |
Javonte Williams | +5000 |
Russell Wilson | +5000 |
Travis Kelce | +6000 |
Aaron Jones | +7500 |
Tyreek Hill | +7500 |
Matthew Stafford | +7500 |
Saquon Barkley | +7500 |
Trevor Lawrence | +7500 |
Ceedee Lamb | +7500 |
Joe Mixon | +7500 |
2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year picks and analysis
Derrick Henry, RB, Titans (+1600)
Henry was the runaway favorite to win this award a year ago before breaking his leg in Week 8 – and for a few weeks, there was legitimate speculation whether he could win the award, anyway.
That’s how good Henry was through those eight weeks, finishing in the top 10 in rushing yards (937) and touchdowns (10) in just a half-season of work. That came on the heels of leading the league in both rushing yards and touchdowns in each of the previous two seasons – including a 2,000-yard campaign in 2020 to earn Offensive Player of the Year honors.
Yes, Henry’s injury is a concern heading into 2022, but he played on that broken leg in that Week 8 loss and will have had 10 months to recover. This Titans offense will once again run through him, perhaps more than ever before with AJ Brown jettisoned. If he’s healthy for 17 games, Henry could legitimately threaten the NFL single-season rushing record, which would make him a shoo-in for this award.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens (+2000)
Last week, we broke down what makes Jackson such an attractive MVP candidate, so naturally we’re bullish on his chances to win this award, too.
The Ravens star has been plagued with injuries and illnesses over the past two seasons, but none of those ailments should linger into this season, which is easily the most important of Jackson’s career ahead of his pending free agency. He’s also surrounded by an improved supporting cast for a team built around his strengths.
The lynchpin for Jackson’s candidacy for this award — which tends to reward historical statistical performances — is his rushing exploits. Jackson set an NFL record for rushing yards by a QB (1,206) in just 15 games in 2019, when he won MVP. Could we be due for an encore this year?
Betting on the NFL?
Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins (+7500)
As we’ve mentioned already, this award caters to players who rewrite the record books. And few players are better equipped to do that than Hill.
The perennial All-Pro speedster was consistently one of the league’s most dangerous weapons in Kansas City, but the Chiefs barely used him as a rusher in recent years and often deferred to Travis Kelce in short-yardage situations. Now, Hill is the man in Miami, where new head coach Mike McDaniel will surely find creative ways to use the Dolphins’ high-priced gadget.
McDaniel helped turn 49ers receiver Deebo Samuel into a dual-threat star, and Hill is as unique a talent as Samuel given his word-class speed and burst. There could be growing pains with new quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, but at this price, I’ll gladly take a shot and see just how high Hill’s ceiling truly is.
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