Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Season-to-date
- Record: 3-5
- Units: -0.33
- ROI: -4.06%
Recommended Bets
Boston Bruins (@OTT) +103
The Bruins are on a back-to-back, but they’re well equipped to handle it, with Jeremy Swayman (tonight’s expected starter) and Linus Ullmark as their goaltending tandem. The Senators should be much improved this season, but they’re off to a slow start, losing their first two games while scoring just three goals. Meanwhile, the Bruins are undefeated and have averaged 5.33 goals per game through three games.
1 Unit Bet: BOS +103
Anaheim Ducks (@NJD) +168
The Ducks have had a tough time keeping the puck out of their own net, but the offense has looked pretty good. New Jersey has had similar defensive issues, but the offense hasn’t clicked for them yet. Anthony Stolarz is expected to start tonight, and he’s been really good for the Ducks in recent years, including a 39-save performance in a win over the Devils last season. Neither team is very good right now, but the sportsbooks are suggesting that the Devils are much better (-188). The model sees it much closer (-125).
0.5 Unit Bet: ANA +168
Proceed with caution
Vegas Golden Knights (@CGY)
I think the 2022-23 version of the Flames is better than the model realizes. It got it wrong with the Avalanche when they were in Calgary, so I’m going to avoid Vegas tonight and give the model some more time to learn about the Flames.
Los Angeles Kings (@NSH)
The Kings are on the tail-end of a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights, traveling from Minnesota to Detroit to Nashville. It’s a tough spot for the Kings, especially with Juuse Saros expected to get the nod for the Predators.
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