Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Montreal Canadiens (@DET)
Despite an impressive season-opening win over the Maple Leafs, the Canadiens are +146 underdogs in Detroit on Friday. The model sees plenty of value there, but Detroit still hasn’t played yet, so the model doesn’t know about all of their offseason additions. Let’s let the model get some of its early-season jitters out.
New York Rangers (@WPG)
It seems like the market is undervaluing the Rangers, they certainly were last night in Minnesota. However, today’s line likely has more to do with Jaroslav Halak expected to get the start on the tail-end of a back-to-back. I’ll bet the Rangers as underdogs every single time Igor Shesterkin is in the crease, Halak not so much.
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