Sunday
BENGALS (-5.5) over Browns
Practically the only factor that’s holding the market steady on this game is the sustained in-state rivalry that has sparked these two virtually ever since the Bengals entered the league. As we quickly picked up on ever since his lightning career began, Bengals QB Joe Burrow is otherworldly. Revenge!
BILLS (-10) over Jets
The Bills continue to dominate lesser sides, even when they’re not putting up optimal efforts. Although they’re improved, the Jets figure to discover the truth of that observation, in short order, Sunday afternoon. Josh Allen has another day for himself at home off a trio of road wins.
Eagles (-7.5) over GIANTS
Eagles have made decent teams look outclassed. This year’s model of the splendidly constructed Philadelphia squad continues to put on the show, given their lone loss (to the squad from DC). The Giants are making the best of their material, but this is one tough road spot.
COWBOYS (-17.5) over Texans
It’s conceivable the ‘Boys could stretch out to a comfortable lead and coast home. Wouldn’t be the first time… although the Texans aren’t all that far away. But there are better things to do than go out of your way to lay this caliber of number. Expect Davis Mills to resume quarterbacking duties for Houston.
LIONS (-1.5) over Vikings
Having spent a good deal of time and effort building a base from which to advance within the NFC, looking for Detroit to step forward, while the Vikes are likely to falter after their sustained surge.
Jaguars (+4) over TITANS
The Jags continue to have issues keeping pace, as their defense continues to underperform. That said, Tennessee pass-catcher Treylon Burks is out (concussion), a significant short-term loss. If the ground game works, the market is trying to tell us something.
STEELERS (-4) over Ravens
Since September, the Ravens are not scoring with the usual efficiency they’ve displayed in previous, more productive seasons. The Steelers’ emphasis on the ground game has provided a measure of distraction, so as to allow QB Kenny Pickett more maneuverability.
Chiefs (-9.5) over BRONCOS
This isn’t an unreasonable tariff on the Chiefs on the road, given that Denver QB Russell Wilson has completed just eight touchdown passes on the season. Productivity figures to remain low. Broncos receiver Courtland Sutton (hamstring) is out.
SEAHAWKS (-4) over Panthers
The ‘Hawks have put together a decent run against Carolina in recent times, and look for the stretch to continue. We’re frankly not crazy and overeager to pounce, regarding the Panthers, with Carolina coming off a bye. Other games on the card entice more.
Buccaneers (+3.5) over 49ers
The Niners are ultra-talented, but they can be had, especially off a trio of routes over the Cardinals, Saints and Dolphins. Even with Tampa Bay arriving here after a coast-to-coast trip, expect a marginal regression from the Niners. Tom Brady, as a ‘dog!
Dolphins (-3.5) over CHARGERS
The Dolphins have evolved this year into a side that dares foes to keep pace. Justin Herbert is willing, and as long as a QB of the caliber of Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa can take charge and pick up the bit, a side akin to the Bolts may have difficulties matching strides. The market is reasonable.
Monday
CARDINALS (+1.5) over Patriots
Arizona has been decent as home ‘dogs in its most recent stretch, and it would be silly to discount this home side, when you contemplate the pass-rushing talent that remains on the Cards’ roster. It’s a take.
Last week: 6-7
Season: 87-76-3
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