Welcome, RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, November 5th, 2022.
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Today’s Betting Overview – Phillies vs. Astros
The Phillies take on the Astros on Saturday, November 5th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) vs. Houston Astros (106-56)
- Date: Saturday November 5th, 2022
- Time: 8:03 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today’s MLB Sportsbook Odds – Phillies vs. Astros
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Philadelphia Phillies – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play looking to keep their World Series hopes alive, as they are trailing 3-2. On the road, the Phillies have a strong record of 45-44. The Phillies are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Houston by a score of 3-2. Overall, the team has won over half of their 55 series played, going 27-23-5.
Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler takes the mound with an overall record of 12-7. Coming into the game, Wheeler has put together an ERA of 2.82 across his 26 outings. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .221. Across 153 innings pitched, Wheeler has allowed just 13 home runs. Overall, he has notched 163 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. In his outings, Zack Wheeler is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 2.0 walks per 9 innings.
On the season, Philadelphia boasts the 7th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.61 runs per game. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 1. The Phillies have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .250 ranks 10th. For the season, 36.0% of the team’s hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Philadelphia’s lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.28 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1. Philadelphia’s offense currently sits 14th in OBP, coming in at .315. So far, the team has a walk rate of 8.0%.
Houston Astros – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros will host the Phillies, looking to close out the series and become World Series champions. So far, Houston has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 60-27. Houston is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 3-2 win over the Phillies. The team’s overall series record is above .500, sitting at 37-13-6.
For Houston, Framber Valdez gets the start, currently holding a record of 17-6. In his 31 appearances, Valdez has an ERA of 2.77. On average, Valdez is allowing 1.15 base runners per inning (WHIP). Across his previous outings, Valdez has a SLG% allowed of .302. In total, he has given up 11 home runs. Heading into the game, Valdez has struck out 23.0% of the batters he’s faced. Walks have been a problem for Framber Valdez as his BB/9 figure is 3.0.
Offensively, Houston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.52 runs per game ranks 9th in the MLB. The team’s total run differential sits at 233. Together, the Astros offense has the 13th-ranked batting average at .247. On average, the team is coming up with 8.28 hits per game. Throughout the season, the team has been good in the power department, averaging 1.32 home runs per game, ranks 4th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard hit rates in the league at 39.1%. Up to this point, Houston has been one of the MLB’s better teams at getting on base, ranking 7th at .318. The team is generating walks at a rate of 8.6%.
Today’s MLB Betting Pick – Phillies vs. Astros
Heading into today’s matchup between Philadelphia and Houston, the Astros are the favorite on the moneyline, with an implied win probability of 60.0%. The MLB predictive model sees Framber Valdez putting together a strong outing, making the Astros the best pick on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Moneyline
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