Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is geared towards ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: This file will be updated with any overnight pitching changes or weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.
What you need to know for Saturday’s MLB Games
By Mike Sheets
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Saturday’s 16-game slate features a doubleheader between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies. With so many big-name hitters already rostered from both teams, there aren’t a ton of widely available batters who should start both games. That said, Alec Bohm (41% rostered in ESPN leagues) is a great streaming option who is likely to start both contests. As the Phillies’ everyday third baseman, Bohm is locked in as the team’s No. 3 hitter. He’s been on a tear of late, batting .327/.355/.436 since the All-Star break. At the very least, he’ll get the platoon edge in the game started by David Peterson.
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Reid Detmers (48%) has seen his roster percentage slowly creep up, but it’s still not nearly as high as it should be. Since his promotion in early July, all the 23-year-old has done is post a 1.50 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP and an 11.8 K/9 in six starts. Detmers is pitching like a legitimate ace right now after revamping his slider during his stint in the minors. Against a Detroit Tigers offense that’s been the worst in baseball over the past month (69 wRC+ and 27.4% strikeout rate), Detmers is the top streaming option of the day.
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While the Los Angeles Dodgers were forced to shut down Walker Buehler for the remainder of the season earlier this week, they are now set to get Dustin May (32%) back. He will be making his 2022 debut after working his way back from Tommy John surgery. The 24-year-old made six rehab starts, with his last one being a five-inning, 10-strikeout effort at Triple-A. May ramped up to 70 pitches in that final rehab outing, so it may take him a couple of more outings to get fully stretched out, but now is the time to scoop him up. Over 31 big-league appearances (19 starts), May has a 2.93 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with nearly a strikeout per inning. On Saturday, he draws a nice matchup against the Miami Marlins, who sports a bottom-three wRC+ (81) in the second half.
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Michael Wacha (46%) was absolutely dominant in his first start back from the IL, as he fired seven shutout frames against the New York Yankees with nine strikeouts and only one walk. That puts his season-long ERA at 2.44 across 14 outings. While the underlying numbers don’t support that low ERA, he’s still been consistently effective this season, holding opponents to no more than three earned runs in 12 of his 14 starts. A road matchup against the Baltimore Orioles puts Wacha squarely on the streaming radar for Saturday’s action.
Freddy Peralta hasn’t looked nearly as dominant since his return from the injured list, but with the Cubs due up next for him on Saturday, he should be ready to deliver big fantasy numbers. Video by Tristan H. Cockcroft
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A few weeks ago, we highlighted Vinnie Pasquantino (25%) and his impressive batted-ball metrics. Now he’s finally starting to turn those metrics into production. Over his last 11 games, he’s batting .439/.489/.829 with five homers, eight RBI and more walks (four) than strikeouts (three). The lefty slugger looks like a “must add” right now, and he gets the platoon advantage against right-hander Drew Rasmussen on Saturday.
Starting pitcher rankings for Saturday
Best Sub-50% Rostered Hitters for Saturday
Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.
Worst Over-50% Rostered Hitters for Saturday
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Christian Vazquez (HOU, C — 57%) at Spencer Strider
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Trey Mancini (HOU, 1B — 81%) at Strider
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Matt Chapman (TOR, 3B — 91%) at Gerrit Cole
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Whit Merrifield (TOR, 2B — 93%) at Cole
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Yasmani Grandal (CHW, C — 56%) at Shane Bieber
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Bo Bichette (TOR, SS — 100%) at Cole
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Teoscar Hernandez (TOR, LF — 94%) at Cole
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Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (TOR, LF — 92%) at Cole
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Travis d’Arnaud (ATL, C — 63%) vs. Cristian Javier
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Cody Bellinger (LAD, CF — 92%) vs. Braxton Garrett
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