Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday November 3rd, 2022.
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Today’s Betting Overview – Astros vs. Phillies
The Astros take on the Phillies on Thursday, November 3rd at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- matchup: Houston Astros (106-56) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75)
- Date: Thursday November 3rd, 2022
- Time: 8:03 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today’s MLB Sportsbook Odds – Astros vs. Phillies
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Houston Astros – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into their matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies, the Astros will look to pull off their 2nd win in a row and go up 3-2. On the road, the Astros have a strong record of 55-31. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 5-0 win over Philadelphia. So far, Houston has won 36 out of their first 56 series, 36-13-7.
Making the start for Houston is Justin Verlander. So far, Verlander has a record of 18-4. Leading up to the game, Verlander has an ERA of just 1.75. In terms of WHIP, Justin Verlander has one of the best marks in the league at just 0.83. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .186. So far, Justin Verlander has a SLG% allowed of .270, including giving up 12 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 185 strikeouts on a K rate of 28%.
Entering today’s action, the Astros feature the 9th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.53 runs per game. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of 1. Together, the Astros offense has the 13th-ranked batting average at .247. Per game, the team is averaging 8.27 hits. The team’s lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.32 home runs per game (4th). To date, the team’s barrel rate of 8.1% ranks near the top of the league. Houston’s overall OBP of .318 is good for 7th in the league. So far, the team has a walk rate of 8.6%.
Philadelphia Phillies – Today’s MLB Betting Analysis
With the series all tied at 2, the Phillies will look up to take care of business at home and take a 3-2 lead. At Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have a strong record of 53-35. Philadelphia will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Astros by a score of 5-0. The team’s overall series record is above .500, sitting at 27-22-6.
The Phillies will send Noah Syndergaard to the mound with an overall record of 5-8. Heading into action, Syndergaard has an ERA of 3.82. So far, Noah Syndergaard has put together a WHIP of 1.21. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .244. So far, Noah Syndergaard has a SLG% allowed of .383, including giving up 9 home runs. Overall, Syndergaard has notched 64 strikeouts on a K rate of 19.0%.
Philadelphia comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.63 runs per game, good for 7th in the MLB. In the team’s last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at -1. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .251, placing them 10th in the league. For the season, 36.0% of the team’s hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Philadelphia’s lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.28 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1%. Philadelphia’s OBP of .315 places them 14th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.9%.
Today’s MLB Betting Pick – Astros vs. Phillies
Heading into today’s matchup between Houston and Philadelphia, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -160 on the moneyline. Houston’s implied win probability sits at 61.54%. However, the MLB predictive model does not show enough value to take Houston on the moneyline. Instead, its recommended to take the Phillies on the runline at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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