Skip to content

NFL conference championship betting trends, angles, odds

With just a few days left until the NFL conference championship round kicks off, we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know about each matchup – including the most compelling betting trends for the Eagles, 49ers, Chiefs and Bengals.

This Sunday, Ohio sports betting will be in full swing, and state sportsbooks will no doubt be taking a deluge of bets on the Bengals.

Here are a few notable trends heading into this weekend’s championship games (with odds courtesy of BetMGM) and what they could mean for each team on Sunday:

Get a $50 Bonus Bet + up to $1K Back in Bonus Bets! with code NPBONUS50

21+. New customers only. NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV, OH only. Terms and conditions apply. 21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Ohio Launch Offer: Bet $1+ on Any Market, Get $200 in Bet Credits!

21+. New customers only. Ohio. Terms and conditions apply. 21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Ohio Launch Offer: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

21+. New customers only. Ohio only. Terms and conditions apply. 21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

caesars casino square

Ohio Launch Offer: Get up to $1,500 in Bet Credits with code NPBONUS1BET

New users only, 21+. Offer available in Ohio only. Full terms and conditions apply. OH only. 21+. New users and first wager only. Must register with eligible promo code. Bet amount of qualifying wager returned only if wager is settled as a loss. Maximum bet credit $1,500; must be used within 14 days of receipt. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Void where prohibited. Know When To Stop Before You Start.® Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

PointsBet Logo Square

Ohio Launch Offer: Get up to $500 in Bet Credits!

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Betfred Sports

Ohio Launch Offer: Bet $50, Get $111 + Up To $1,000 in Fred Bets

Bettors in Ohio must be 21+ and physically located in the state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

SuperBook Sports Logo

Get Up to $1000 First Bet Match Bonus!

21+. New customers only. OH only. 21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers, 3 p.m. Eastern

  • The Eagles are 7-3 against the spread as home favorites this season, which was the fourth-best record in the league. They’ve covered seven of 14 home playoff games since 2001, although they’ve won their last two conference championship games by a combined 48 points.
  • San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan is 7-1 ATS in the postseason and has been the third-most profitable coach in the postseason over the last two decades. Since he was hired in 2017, the 49ers are 29-19 ATS as an underdog, including 3-1 ATS as a playoff ‘dog.
  • Brock Purdy is 6-1 ATS since taking over as San Francisco’s starter and is just the second quarterback since the merger to win each of his first seven starts. Still, he faces a tough task on Sunday: only four rookies have ever started a conference championship game, and all four lost by at least nine points with a combined nine interceptions between them.
  • The 49ers have won 12 straight games with a 10-2 ATS record during that streak. Over the last 20 years, teams riding a double-digit win streak are 4-13 ATS in the playoffs, although two of those ATS wins have come in San Francisco’s last two games.

Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-1), 6:30 p.m. Eastern

  • Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has never been a playoff underdog, and he’s been a home underdog just once in 48 starts. He’s 7-1-1 ATS in his career as an underdog with six straight-up wins.
  • Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is 20-5 ATS in his last 25 starts and 32-16 ATS in his three-year career – making him the most profitable quarterback in the NFL since he was drafted in 2020. He’s also 5-1 ATS in the postseason and 3-0 ATS/SU in three career meetings with Mahomes and the Chiefs.
  • Kansas City coach Andy Reid is 19-17 ATS in his postseason career, including 6-3 ATS as an underdog. He’s just 4-5 ATS on conference championship weekend with a 1-0 ATS / 0-1 SU record as an underdog.
  • The Chiefs are just the 10th home underdog in the conference championship round since the playoffs expanded in 1990. The previous nine teams went 4-5 ATS, although the last team in that spot was the 2017 Eagles (+3), who beat the visiting Vikings by 31 points.

.